CFB: COTTON BOWL - OLE MISS vs. TEXAS TECH (2:00 PM ET, FOX)

Texas Tech flirted with the #1 national ranking this season and its only blemish came at Oklahoma. Still, the Red Raiders are the annual team left outside of the BCS looking in, thanks to a crowded Big 12 South Division field. On Friday, HC Mike Leach’s t

2008-12-31

Texas Tech flirted with the #1 national ranking this season and its only blemish came at Oklahoma. Still, the Red Raiders are the annual team left outside of the BCS looking in, thanks to a crowded Big 12 South Division field. On Friday, HC Mike Leach’s team will try to finish off its special season with a resounding win over Ole Miss. Tech is a 4-point favorite and backed by nearly 80% of bettors.

It was a sensational season for Texas Tech with just one loss to Oklahoma, who ended up in the BCS title tilt. With QB Graham Harrell at the controls, Texas Tech was #1 in passing offense, with 5-4-1 ATS record. Texas Tech is 10-20-1 in bowl games, with 5-11-1 ATS record. They have not covered the last three bowl games and are 2-8 ATS when favored. Ole Miss lost four games, but none by more than a touchdown and could have been 10-2 easily. For the season, the Rebels finished 8-3 ATS and are 11-1 against the spread in road games vs. passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Mississippi is 19-12 and 7-3-1 ATS in bowl games, including 4-2 ATS as underdogs.

Cotton Bowl Series Trend: Normally played as the early kickoff on New Year’s Day, this year’s Cotton Bowl is moved back one day. It’s probably best too, as teams have played as if they’ve been hungover, going UNDER the total in 11 of the last 13 series games. On posted totals averaging 51.7, the clubs have combined for just 41.5. The SEC is 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in the last five Cotton Bowl games.

Top ATS Trend
• OLE MISS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. since 1992. The average score was OLE MISS 21.3, OPPONENT 26.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Top Totals Trend
• TEXAS TECH is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. this season. The average score was TEXAS TECH 45.7, OPPONENT 33.0 - (Rating = 2*)

Recent OLE MISS Bowl Game Trends
* OLE MISS is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its L7 bowl games.
* OLE MISS is 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in its L4 bowl games vs. Big 12 teams.
* The underdog is 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in OLE MISS's L5 bowl games.

Recent TEXAS TECH Bowl Game Trends
* TEXAS TECH is 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS in its L3 bowl games, all as favorites.
* Underdogs boast a 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS record in L10 TEXAS TECH bowl games.
* TEXAS TECH is 0-3 ATS in its L3 January bowl games.

StatFox Power Ratings say: TEXAS TECH by 4

Latest College Football News

Click here to read latest College Football news