CFB: LSU at Mississippi (3:30 PM ET, CBS)

While LSU and Mississippi are no longer in the race for the SEC title, they will be playing for bowl positioning, making this an intriguing SEC matchup. Ole Miss is playing some of its best football of the season and comes in as a 4-point favorite. Read o

2009-11-20

While LSU and Mississippi are no longer in the race for the SEC title, they will be playing for bowl positioning, making this an intriguing SEC matchup. Ole Miss is playing some of its best football of the season and comes in as a 4-point favorite. Read on for a preview of this game plus a Best Bet writeup from the StatFox Platinum Sheet. Then head over to the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and GAME MATCHUP page on Sportsbook.com for more late breaking info.

This was supposed to be a portentous conflict back in August, but Alabama killed that notion and other SEC losses took care of it living up to preseason hype. That doesn’t mean it won’t hold value, since these two squads came in with high hopes and want to finish the regular season proudly. The goal for LSU (8-2, 4-5-1 ATS) is simple, win 10 games, which would be the fourth such occurrence under coach Les Miles in the last five years. The Tigers have several players sucking it up and playing hurt. Quarterback Jordan Jefferson is playing with ankle issues and a number of linemen on either side of the ball are limping or playing thru the pain. Look for coach Miles to dial up the pressure on Ole Miss QB Jevan Snead, who has not reacted well in the face of adversity. The Tigers will most likely walk up a safety to take away Rebels run game, to force obvious passing situations. Check this number out, LSU is 1-12-3 ATS in SEC games off a non-conference tilt.

This is Mississippi’s last home game of the season and the Rebels would like to put away previous disappointments. This would be the ideal situation for Snead to regain confidence and get ready for rivalry game with Mississippi State next week. Snead’s lack of confidence has made him a reluctant decision-maker, which has led to interceptions or trying to steer the ball to receivers, instead of playing instinctively. Running backs Dexter McCluster and Brandon Bolden have been good behind a spotty offensive line, especially at tackle. The Rebels (7-3, 6-3 ATS) are 10-5 ATS vs. ranked teams at home.

Ole Miss has been the spread winner 10 of last 12 games played against LSU.

StatFox Steve has this to say about the game: The 2009 season might go down as a disappointment in Starkville, but the Rebels are coming on of late, particularly at home, where they have won four straight games, all by double-digit margins. Their season-long statistics of 6.0 yards per play on offense and 4.7 allowed on defense are certainly not disappointing. Meanwhile, LSU is still being outgained by opponents and is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. In last year’s meeting in Baton Rouge, Ole Miss won 31-13, holding the Tigers to 37 yards rushing. With stud RB Charles Scott out for the season now, LSU will be fortunate to do better this year. Play: Ole Miss -4

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