CFB: Music City Bowl - KENTUCKY vs. CLEMSON (8:30 PM ET, ESPN)

The 2009 Music City Bowl matches the same teams that played in the ‘06 game, Kentucky and Clemson. Like that game, the Tigers are again the heavy favorite, laying 7.5 points. They were upset in ‘06 though, 28-20. The Wildcats will look for an encore perfo

2009-12-28

The 2009 Music City Bowl matches the same teams that played in the ‘06 game, Kentucky and Clemson. Like that game, the Tigers are again the heavy favorite, laying 7.5 points. They were upset in ‘06 though, 28-20. The Wildcats will look for an encore performance when the game kicks off at 8:30 PM ET on Sunday night. Visit the Sportsbook.com LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages for more key info before hitting the confirm button on your wagers.

The ’09 version of Clemson lost in the ACC title game and carries the disappointment of yet another season without a BCS bowl berth. The Tigers were 8-5 SU and 7-5 ATS, but just 2-3 vs. fellow bowl teams. They are looking to snap a three-game SU and ATS losing streak in bowl games. Kentucky is 7-5 with two sizeable upset wins to its credit, against. Auburn and Georgia. The Wildcats are in this game for the fourth time in five bowl appearances, and have won three straight bowl games overall.

The underdog Wildcats roll into Nashville to rock with the Tigers. Wildcat fans will be dancing in the streets following a Kentucky outright upset on Dec. 27. Kentucky, winners of three of its last four, should have no problem downing the Tigers, who are 1-6 ATS as bowl favorites. If Clemson’s poor bowl record isn’t enough, the fact that ACC teams are 9-33 as favorites in bowl games should leave bettors with no option other than playing a hot Wildcats team. The Wildcats were 5-0 ATS this year on the road and Statfox’s FoxSheets game simulator predicts a 29-28 Kentucky upset. SEC teams are 27-11 as an underdog in all bowl games. Lastly, the underdog covers at a 64-percent clip in all bowl games that start Christmas day until the New Year.

MUSIC CITY BOWL Series Trend: With Vanderbilt’s 16-14 upset of Boston College in ’08, the SEC pushed its winning streak to 3-games (2-1 ATS) in the Music City Bowl series. This year’s game will be the 12th installment in this Nashville tradition, with underdogs (7-4 ATS) and UNDER the total (also 7-4) being the more profitable past wagers to date. This has been one of the more competitive games annually of late as well, with the last five being decided a one possession margins. Kentucky upset Clemson as an 11-point dog in the ’06 game.

Top FoxSheets.com ATS Trend
KENTUCKY is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) off a home loss since 1992. The average score was KENTUCKY 20.9, OPPONENT 29.4 - (Rating = 1*)

Top FoxSheets.com Total Super Situation
Play Under - Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KENTUCKY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. (42-13 since 1992.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)

This game has seen an unusual amount of action coming in on the OVER side of the total. At last check on the Sportsbook BETTING TRENDS page, 88% of bets were put there.

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